Extension of 2003 OTM risk assessment
Wednesday 25 August 2004
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College, London.
Introduction
- Aim is to assess impact of changes to OTM rule on human exposure in period 2004- 2009
- Previous assessment used 5,000 future vCJD deaths as pessimistic scenario (published in Ferguson & Donnelly etc)
- Used 'worst- case' scenario approach
- Predictions from clinical cases suggest much lower risk
- Results from survey of lymphoreticular tissues suggest higher risk
- Extended work integrates BSE modelling and vCJD data to estimate the probabilities associated with numbers of vCJD cases arising from infection in the period 2004- 2009
Related links
Extension of 2003 OTM risk assessment
Imperial College London
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